NFL Week 8

Week 7 is graded. Player props went 3-6 and the touchdown picks 2-3. On the season: props 22-31, anytime touchdowns 9-21.

Three videos a week, each one up days ahead of its game: a card for Thursday night, the Sunday card with the anytime touchdown picks in the same video, and a card for Monday night. Every play is a straight bet, the night games count in the record like Sunday, and the results are in Tuesday's video and here.

Season to date

NFL

Week 883 graded4 pending

22-31Player props

-9.65uProps units

-23.1%Props ROI

9-21Anytime TDs

-0.70uTD units

0Voided

Graded plays only: the record, units and ROI count the 83 settled plays through October 24, off the box scores. The 4 pending plays are in no number until graded.

Props CSV Touchdowns CSV

Week 7 record

3-6Player props

-3.48uProps units

2-3Anytime TDs

+0.56uTD units

0Voids

Player prop	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Kenneth Walker III	Over 84.5 Rushing Yards	-111	1u	14 car, 36 yds	LOSS
Trey McBride	Over 6.5 Receptions	-167	1u	10 rec on 13 targets, 111 yds, 1 TD	WIN
Aaron Jones Sr.	Over 39.5 Rushing Yards	-115	1u	8 car, 26 yds	LOSS
Sam LaPorta	Over 4.5 Receptions	-162	1u	1 rec on 2 targets, 18 yds	LOSS
Tetairoa McMillan	Over 69.5 Receiving Yards	-111	1u	4 rec on 6 targets, 40 yds	LOSS
Kayshon Boutte	Over 10.5 Receiving Yards	-114	1u	1 rec on 2 targets, 25 yds	WIN
Brock Purdy	Over 19.5 Rushing Yards	-119	1u	2 car, 5 yds	LOSS
George Pickens	Over 63.5 Receiving Yards	-112	1u	4 rec on 6 targets, 57 yds, 1 TD	LOSS
Ryan Flournoy	Over 3.5 Receptions	+104	1u	4 rec on 4 targets, 70 yds	WIN

Touchdown	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
George Kittle	Anytime TD	+114	0.25u	8 rec on 10 targets, 88 yds, no TD	LOSS
Brock Bowers	Anytime TD	+108	0.25u	6 rec on 8 targets, 73 yds, no TD	LOSS
Mike Gesicki	Anytime TD	+344	0.25u	1 rec on 1 target, 6 yds, a 6-yd receiving TD from Joe Burrow	WIN
Ollie Gordon II	Anytime TD	+181	0.25u	25 car, 103 yds, a 1-yd rushing TD	WIN
Sam LaPorta	Anytime TD	+159	0.25u	1 rec on 2 targets, 18 yds, no TD	LOSS

Nothing voided in Week 7. Trey McBride caught ten passes for 111 yards, Kayshon Boutte got over his number on one 25-yard catch, and Ryan Flournoy caught all four of his targets on Monday night. Kenneth Walker ran for 36 yards at Seattle and Sam LaPorta caught one pass. Mike Gesicki scored at +344 and Ollie Gordon at +181, so the touchdown picks finished the week in the green. Stakes are risk and units pay at the posted price. Seven weeks in, player props are 22-31 and -9.65u, anytime touchdowns 9-21 and -0.70u.

Week 6 record

1-6Player props

-5.17uProps units

0-5Anytime TDs

-1.25uTD units

0Voids

Player prop	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Cam Skattebo	Over 53.5 Rushing Yards	-114	1u	0 car, 0 yds, 0 targets on six snaps, benched after last week's fumble	LOSS
Rome Odunze	Over 39.5 Receiving Yards	-130	1u	3 rec on 4 targets, 39 yds	LOSS
Xavier Hutchinson	Over 14.5 Receiving Yards	-110	1u	2 rec on 3 targets, 10 yds	LOSS
Kyren Williams	Over 19.5 Receiving Yards	-113	1u	3 rec on 6 targets, 17 yds	LOSS
Omarion Hampton	Over 31.5 Rushing Yards	-114	1u	7 car, 18 yds	LOSS
Kenneth Walker III	Over 89.5 Rushing Yards	-120	1u	19 car, 128 yds, 2 TD	WIN
Trey McBride	Over 7.5 Receptions	+118	1u	7 rec on 9 targets, 53 yds	LOSS

Touchdown	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Omarion Hampton	Anytime TD	+280	0.25u	7 car, 18 yds, 4 rec, 21 yds, no TD	LOSS
Christian Watson	Anytime TD	+120	0.25u	3 rec on 8 targets, 64 yds, no TD	LOSS
Trey McBride	Anytime TD	+155	0.25u	7 rec on 9 targets, 53 yds, no TD	LOSS
Malik Nabers	Anytime TD	+180	0.25u	12 rec on 15 targets, 165 yds, no TD	LOSS
CeeDee Lamb	Anytime TD	+125	0.25u	9 rec on 18 targets, 70 yds, no TD	LOSS

Nothing voided in Week 6, and almost nothing hit. Kenneth Walker was the only prop that cashed. Rome Odunze finished half a yard short, Trey McBride one catch short, Cam Skattebo played six snaps and never got a carry, and Malik Nabers had 165 yards without a touchdown. Stakes are risk and units pay at the posted price. Six weeks in, player props are 19-25 and -6.16u, anytime touchdowns 7-18 and -1.27u.

Week 5 record

4-3Player props

+0.89uProps units

3-2Anytime TDs

+0.64uTD units

0Voids

Player prop	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Jaylen Warren	Over 61.5 Rushing Yards	-102	1u	15 car, 101 yds, 1 TD	WIN
Omarion Hampton	Over 39.5 Rushing Yards	+101	1u	14 car, 33 yds	LOSS
Rome Odunze	Over 39.5 Receiving Yards	-106	1u	3 rec on 9 targets, 40 yds	WIN
Rashod Bateman	Over 19.5 Receiving Yards	+107	1u	5 rec on 6 targets, 62 yds	WIN
Chris Olave	Over 6.5 Receptions	+105	1u	4 rec on 6 targets, 46 yds	LOSS
Jameson Williams	Over 3.5 Receptions	-113	1u	2 rec on 4 targets, 47 yds, 2 TD	LOSS
Wan'Dale Robinson	Over 34.5 Receiving Yards	-112	1u	6 rec on 7 targets, 53 yds	WIN

Touchdown	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Tony Pollard	Anytime TD	+230	0.25u	14 car, 52 yds, 0 rec on 1 target, no TD	LOSS
Christian Watson	Anytime TD	+175	0.25u	6 rec, 143 yds on 8 targets, receiving TDs of 42 and 53 yds from Jordan Love	WIN
Michael Wilson	Anytime TD	+165	0.25u	4 rec, 30 yds on 7 targets, no TD	LOSS
Sam LaPorta	Anytime TD	+160	0.25u	5 rec, 88 yds on 5 targets, 38-yd receiving TD from Jared Goff	WIN
Brock Bowers	Anytime TD	+120	0.25u	8 rec, 110 yds on 10 targets, 13-yd receiving TD from Kirk Cousins	WIN

Nothing voided in Week 5. Rome Odunze cleared his number by half a yard, Jameson Williams scored twice on two catches and still lost his receptions over, and Christian Watson scored twice. Stakes are risk and units pay at the posted price. Five weeks in, player props are 18-19 and -1.00u, anytime touchdowns 7-13 and -0.02u.

Week 4 record

4-3Player props

+0.63uProps units

0Anytime TDs

0Voids

Player prop	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Matthew Stafford	Over 0.5 Rushing Yards	-101	1u	3 car, 10 yds	WIN
George Pickens	Under 68.5 Receiving Yards	-111	1u	2 rec on 3 targets, 75 yds	LOSS
Geno Smith	Over 10.5 Rushing Yards	-113	1u	0 carries	LOSS
Lamar Jackson	Under 32.5 Rushing Yards	-112	1u	2 car, 20 yds	WIN
Cam Ward	Over 9.5 Rushing Yards	-118	1u	4 car, 27 yds	WIN
Jared Goff	Over 1.5 Rushing Yards	-113	1u	0 carries	LOSS
Bryce Young	Under 12.5 Rushing Yards	-111	1u	3 car, 3 yds	WIN

Nothing voided in Week 4. Geno Smith and Jared Goff both played and never ran the ball, so those two are losses. The Sunday card had no anytime touchdown picks. Stakes are risk and units pay at the posted price. Four weeks in, player props are 14-16 and -1.88u, anytime touchdowns 4-11 and -0.65u.

Week 3 record

2-3Player props

-0.46uProps units

1-4Anytime TDs

-0.55uTD units

0Voids

Player prop	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Cooper Kupp	Over 19.5 Receiving Yards	-133	1u	4 rec on 5 targets, 46 yds, 1 TD	WIN
Darnell Mooney	Over 14.5 Receiving Yards	-127	1u	2 rec on 3 targets, 20 yds	WIN
Patrick Mahomes	Over 14.5 Rushing Yards	-118	0.75u	1 car, 1 yd	LOSS
De'Von Achane	Over 59.5 Rushing Yards	-113	0.5u	3 car, 17 yds	LOSS
Christian McCaffrey	Over 4.5 Receptions	-119	0.75u	4 rec on 5 targets, 41 yds	LOSS

Touchdown	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Dalton Kincaid	Anytime TD	+187	0.25u	2 rec, 38 yds on 3 targets, no TD	LOSS
Tee Higgins	Anytime TD	+179	0.25u	6 rec, 90 yds on 7 targets, 28-yd receiving TD from Joe Burrow	WIN
Darren Waller	Anytime TD	+334	0.25u	5 rec, 51 yds on 8 targets, no TD	LOSS
Trey McBride	Anytime TD	+187	0.25u	9 rec, 75 yds on 11 targets, no TD	LOSS
Chris Olave	Anytime TD	+151	0.25u	9 rec, 107 yds on 13 targets, no TD	LOSS

Nothing voided in Week 3. De'Von Achane left hurt in the first quarter after three carries; he played, so that leg is a loss. Stakes are risk and units pay at the posted price. Three weeks in, player props are 10-13 and -2.52u, anytime touchdowns 4-11 and -0.65u.

Week 2 record

4-5Player props

-0.50uProps units

2-3Anytime TDs

+0.24uTD units

0Voids

Player prop	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Derrick Henry	Over 89.5 Rushing Yards	-112	0.5u	16 car, 68 yds, 1 TD	LOSS
Cade Otton	Over 2.5 Receptions	-156	0.75u	5 rec on 6 targets, 38 yds	WIN
Brock Purdy	Over 14.5 Rushing Yards	+105	0.5u	3 car, 30 yds, 1 rushing TD	WIN
Michael Wilson	Over 39.5 Receiving Yards	+104	0.25u	2 rec on 7 targets, 18 yds	LOSS
Christian McCaffrey	Over 4.5 Receptions	-112	0.75u	4 rec on 4 targets, 43 yds	LOSS
Patrick Mahomes	Over 17.5 Rushing Yards	-112	0.25u	2 car, 17 yds	LOSS
Travis Kelce	Over 42.5 Receiving Yards	-104	0.25u	9 rec on 11 targets, 101 yds, 1 TD	WIN
Justin Herbert	Over 19.5 Rushing Yards	-108	0.25u	3 car, 2 yds	LOSS
Trey McBride	Over 6.5 Receptions	+102	0.25u	8 rec on 10 targets, 41 yds, 1 TD	WIN

Touchdown	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Dallas Goedert	Anytime TD	+215	0.25u	1 rec, 4 yds on 2 targets, no TD	LOSS
Tee Higgins	Anytime TD	+172	0.25u	5 rec, 95 yds on 10 targets, no TD	LOSS
Harold Fannin Jr.	Anytime TD	+365	0.25u	5 rec, 54 yds on 6 targets, no TD	LOSS
Christian Watson	Anytime TD	+190	0.25u	4 rec, 41 yds on 11 targets, 3-yd receiving TD from Jordan Love	WIN
Trey McBride	Anytime TD	+205	0.25u	8 rec, 41 yds on 10 targets, 2-yd receiving TD from Jacoby Brissett	WIN

Nothing voided in Week 2 — every posted leg played. Stakes are risk and units pay at the posted price. Two weeks in, player props are 8-10 and -2.05u, anytime touchdowns 3-7 and -0.10u.

Week 1 record

4-5Player props

-1.56uProps units

1-4Anytime TDs

-0.34uTD units

0Voids

Player prop	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	Over 82.5 Receiving Yards	-106	0.25u	8 rec, 122 yds	WIN
Kyren Williams	Over 54.5 Rushing Yards	-103	0.75u	11 car, 41 yds	LOSS
Christian McCaffrey	Over 4.5 Receptions	-102	0.5u	5 rec on 8 targets	WIN
Dawson Knox	Over 14.5 Receiving Yards	-108	0.75u	1 rec, 7 yds on 1 target	LOSS
Trey McBride	Over 57.5 Receiving Yards	-111	0.25u	9 rec, 95 yds, 1 TD on 13 targets	WIN
George Pickens	Over 69.5 Receiving Yards	-106	0.25u	3 rec, 28 yds on 6 targets	LOSS
J.K. Dobbins	Over 50.5 Rushing Yards	-110	0.75u	8 car, 36 yds	LOSS
Patrick Mahomes	Over 14.5 Rushing Yards	-103	0.25u	7 car, 23 yds, 1 TD	WIN
RJ Harvey	Over 19.5 Rushing Yards	+104	0.25u	3 car, 18 yds	LOSS

Touchdown	Play	Price	Stake	What he did	Result
Dallas Goedert	Anytime TD	+265	0.25u	4 rec, 77 yds, 2 receiving TDs	WIN
Tucker Kraft	Anytime TD	+225	0.25u	3 rec, 65 yds, no TD	LOSS
Jaxson Dart	Anytime TD	+200	0.25u	11 car, 54 rush yds, 0 rush TD (3 passing TDs do not count)	LOSS
Tee Higgins	Anytime TD	+138	0.25u	3 rec, 59 yds, no TD	LOSS
De'Von Achane	Anytime TD	+122	0.25u	11 car 36 yds, 4 rec 30 yds, no TD	LOSS

Every posted Week 1 leg played, so nothing voided. Stakes are risk; units at the posted price. The touchdown picks keep their own record.

Thursday Night Football

Thursday night, Week 8: three player props and one anytime touchdown pick for Panthers at Packers. Results Tuesday.

Sunday: the card and the touchdown picks

Seven player props and five anytime touchdown picks for Sunday's Week 7 games, built Thursday on the week's practice reports. Results Tuesday.

Monday Night Football

Monday night, Week 7: two player props for Cowboys at Eagles, the best bet first. Results Tuesday.

Swings, not locks — the touchdown picks keep a separate record from the Board so one never flatters the other. The MLB Board keeps posting every morning alongside it.

Be there for the first card

Drop your email and you get the Board every week — same format as the MLB Board: a short card with every pick talked through, sized in units, graded in public the next morning.